Covid was mischaracterized and misreported. It is not about science or medicine it is about control and politics.
Covid was and still is dangerous for the elderly, but the younger population, especially birth to 15 are statistically unaffected. Based on CDC/NIH etc data (summary graph below).
More proof of misreporting. The WIDELY reported deaths had EVERYONE (all ages) assuming they would die when in reality the impact was to elderly. (see the 220x to 570x death rate for elderly) from CDC data.
Comparison to Spanish Flu
The media (not me) started using the Spanish Flu as an example of how bad COVID (SARS-COV2) is. By all measures the Spanish Flu was FAR WORSE. It was a real PANDEMIC. COVID is a 2s flu at best (except for elderly and people with multiple pre-existing conditions).
Details on Spanish Flu VS Covid
Spanish Flu caused a decrease in life expectancy from 12 to 16 years. The worst estimate for Covid right now is 4 years and most others have it from 2 to 3. And one even has it as low as 1 year.
Taking the best estimate from Spanish Flu of 12 years and worst estimate of COVID at 4 years, the spanish flu was 3x worse. But that is not completely accurate either.
How much life was actually lost?
Another way to compare is what percent of life expectancy was lost.
The average life expectancy in the USA in 2019 was 79.79 per GOOGLE facts.
The Spanish flu reduced life expectancy by 25% to 29% depending on when you decided the Spanish flu started. Seed Berkley link above
Covid reduces life expectancy by 1.4% to 4.4% depending on which numbers you use. Again comparing the most favorable Spanish Flu 25% to the WORST Covid number of 4.4%. It is obvious how there is not much of a comparison.
In todays terms if a virus was as lethal as Spanish flu the years of life lost would be 19.5 (nearly 20 years) at minimum and 22.62 years lost at worst. Remember the actual is probably around 2 to 4. The flu is higher than this because it kills babies unlike Covid.
The graphs below show Age Adjusted Death Rates for the USA and Globally. Again there is in increase but it is not HUGE (nothing like the 25% to 29% spike that was caused by the Spanish Flu).
The mass amount of media and government propaganda that the vaccine is the ONLY solution is patently a lie. It is NOT scientific and has 100s of studies and pretty much ALL of medical history proving it wrong.
We must have the emergency vaccine using gene therapy. WHY? Because there are no treatments. This IS and WAS a complete lie. Here were the KNOWN options (numerous studies can be found searching in scholar.google.com). Short Summary I could find as a layperson.
High dose intravenous vitamin C (old school for over 40 years used for sepsis and other resistant viral infections). Very cheap and safe.
Ivermectin. Well established with over a BILLION doses administered. Low risk and previously proven to be partly effective. Cheap and safe.
Hydroxychloroquine. Again well established. Known side effects. Billions of doses so well established. Cheap and safe.
Remdesivir (Veklury). Recent treatment.
Aspirin. Latest treatment
The vaccine is better than Natural Immunity?
This is hyperbole. Up until this was announced, the OPPOSITE was true for 100s of years of science. This is absolute lunacy. For comparison there are numerous studies indicating that natural immunity for chickenpox lasts longer and is more effective than the vaccine. In fact the chickpox vaccine requires a booster, while natural immunity DOES NOT.
Statements that are patently now proven lies
15 days to slow the spread
The Vaccine will STOP the spread
The Vaccine will protect you from Covid
The Vaccine is safe (now it has death as a possible side effect)
Another BIG reason is over 100k immigrants have entered the country and are being FULLY supported. And they are NOT required to get a vaccine, but healthcare workers in New York are now UNEMPLOYED because of an illegal mandate, and are not even eligible for unemployment benefits. The people who cared for COVID patients for 18+ months are now fired because they are “dangerous”. The people who paid taxes to fund giveaways for illegals are unemployed and have ZERO benefits. This is wrong on so many levels and further demonstrates this isnt about medicine or science. It is PURELY politics.
Share any others I missed in the comments.
Why No Live Attenuated Virus (LAV) Vaccine?
We turn around a LAV (Live Attenuated Virus) vaccine every year for the Flu. It has been over a year and the LAV is still not here. This is VERY clearly a decision by the CDC/NIH and it screams politics instead of science or medicine.
The Vaccine is safe.
A lie again. No one can guarentee that a gene therapy medication is safe. It is experimental. There are not YEARS of studies. Further there is NO active tracking of the vaccine side affects other than VAERS.
The easiest comparison is to say during covid, if you died of anything AND covid, you died because of covid. For the shot the assumption is in reverse. If you had the shot and died of heart attack – it is assumed NOT to be because of the shot.
Further there is ZERO risk for the manufacturers of the vaccine. They are protected from lawsuits. And as there is no clinical tracking, the odds of being able to connect the shot to a problem are low.
Where is the control group?
Why are we being forced now? The data indicates the shot does not decrease spread. People are still dying of COVID in areas with very high shot rates. People who die within 14 days of the shot are recorded as NOT being vaccinated, and it is claimed to be COVID. All this screams politics and profit over science and medicine.
I am concerned because the government declared DDT safe they declared thalidomide safe, they declared Asbestos safe.
Where is the control group? This is still experimental on multiple levels. It is not a LAV (live attenuated virus) vaccine. It modifies your genes to produce spike proteins.
I know personally that gene therapy is dangerous, a friend of the family died in a trial. She VOLUNTEERED. I have NOT volunteered. I can decide for myself which RISK i choose to accept. I accept the risk of driving, eating, exercising or not.
But you need to get vaccinated to protect others.
That makes ZERO sense. If the vaccine works ONLY I am at risk. If I have the natural immunity (antibodies) I am actually a lower risk than a vaccinated person. (relates to nasal transfer of viral load at 251x an unvaccinated person). Also even if there are variants, the vaccine likely does NOT protect from those (ie variation of flu strains).
Further, large countries such as Israel has very high vax rates but they are still seeing a spike and are talking about multiple extra jabs. There are numerous studies that indicate transmission, hospitalization and complications are NOT matching expectations.
Up till 2020 this was all accepted, now it is all considered to be wrong.
Why is this a RIGHTS ISSUE?
This is a seriously slippery slope. The government in the USA has no constitutional authority. If this stands the government could decide hwo much TV i can watch or what I eat or drink, all of those affect how long i live. This gives the government precedent. It gives them right over LIFE and ALL life decisions.
The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people
The constitution doesnt say ANYWHERE that the fed govt can mandate healthcare or force you to buy something or force you to get a SHOT. I am not familiar with all state’s constitutions, but the few i have reviewed all have similar limitations on the GOVT.
Further where is the LAW and how is it legal? The 14th Amendment limits the feds no state shall make or enforce any law abridging the privileges or immunities of citizens of the United States or deprive any person of life, liberty, or property without due process of the law
We live in a REPUBLIC which protects the minority. We are in a situation where roughly 40% of the population is being FORCED to do something that is unconstitutional AND that they don’t want to do.
Why I am not getting the jab.
All the “benefits” are lies, and there is known significant risk (myocarditis and pericarditis). There is also some indication of significant increase in new cancers and other autoimmune complications related to the vaccine. Also some odd issues with menstruation. (ALL DOCUMENTED but not all peer reviewed YET)
Look at it a different way. If I am a 21 year old do I get to decide to keep the baby or get an abortion or does the GOVERNMENT decide based on “expert” data. Do they get you FORCE you to have the baby, or FORCE you to have an abortion?
Finally the vaccine is inversely risky by age. In other words the younger you are when taking it the higher you cardiac risk. While COVID gets more risky the older you are. This means that the RISK created from the vaccine is HIGHER than the disease itself.
A large portion of the black community is reluctant to take this vaccine. The “requirement” will adversely affect that community with no option for resolution other than FORCED vaccination.
Would I force you to NOT take it?
Absolutely NOT. I believe all other rights are reserved to the individual. This republic is supposed to protect individual rights, even against the majority.
A mob (democracy) that votes to “confiscate your house” if they have enough votes they can take it. In a republic the indivdual has involatile rights (rights that the government is NOT permitted to infringe on). My right to decide what to do with my life is the ULTIMATE freedom.
The quick answer is most of us are not, including me. My grandfather used to say, “Never tempt worse, worse is ALWAYS more creative”. So I know I am not prepared enough for everything, but I am prepared enough to make suggestions if you are just beginning.
NOTE: This post is a work in progress
STATE OF MIND
Before long lists of things to buy or do. Your state of mind is critical. Remember we ALL have natural blind spots, normalcy bias and have a tendency to ignore, overvalue or undervalue things.
Also watch for cognitive dissonance, when you know things should be one way but your senses show you another.
Si Vis Pacem Para Bellum — “if you would have peace, prepare for war”
Cognitive dissonance can identify lies BUT it can also apply to situations where you want to believe one thing (you feel like it should one way), but you KNOW LOGICALLY that things are actually different. My senses tell me there is no risk, everything is normal, but logic tells me the radar indicates a huge storm is coming – the two don’t match. Alternately the govt might say DDT is safe, but you see it causing problems – both can result in cognitive dissonance.
Think about what I can control first. What is within my sphere of control. Think about what are absolute necessities. Focus on things you cant “make” or get easily (before its too late). I could use rags as toilet paper but I MUST have food, water and shelter to survive.
If it gets really bad, you wont be able to just run to the store if you need something. If you need jeans and boots get them NOW.
Fuel will run out, electricity will end. Grocery stores will be empty. Whatever you need you will have to trade for or have already.
This is an important acronym. STYK is “Stuff That Kills You”, also known by as “Sh$t That Kills You”. This applies to prepping because you want to effectively increase your survival for known risks – and using STKY as a starting point is a good plan.
Start with the most likely risks first. Car accident, normal injuries, falls, accidents, likely storms (snowstorm, tornado, hurricane – depending on where you live). Other likely events are power outages from a few hours to a few days.
One is NONE and two is ONE.
This is a critical mentality. If you have one flashlight and it goes out you are in the dark- if you break one you might be able to use those parts in the remaining unit. Same for pistols, or medical gear.
Repairs, spares, batteries, ammo, filters etc etc… are all easier if you standardize. Having multiple of the same pistol allows you to interchange magazines. Same flashlight uses same batteries, same LED, and the same seals.
Cheap is Expensive
This concept is fairly straightforward. If you buy cheap tools you end up paying more in the end. As with any rule there are exceptions.
Example: I do not exclusively buy expensive flashlights. Cheap ones are all over the place but I do have multiple expensive ones in every car and around the house.
Preparing for 72 hours (3 days)
Most small events last up to 72 hour or about 3 days. These type of events probably require some or all of the following: first aid, medication, water, food, ability to cook, lighting, ability to make temporary repairs to shelter, clothing, heating/cooling, basic communications and minimal defense.
This is where to start. Could you stay in your house for 72 hours without power and water? If not get what you need to be prepared for 72 hours without water, fast food and electricity.
Plan for both good times and bad times AT THE SAME TIME.
This is the idea of “Hope for the best and prepare for the worst”. But take it more tangibly. For discussion let us assume your odds of bad things happing are roughly 30%. So plan for 70% good days and 30% bad days. Being prepared means being ready to succeed and improve things AND recover from natural disasters and setbacks.
Do BOTH at once wherever possible. Some preparations can prepare you for both the GOOD and BAD events.
If you can get extra clothing that you would wear anyway, and buy it on sale you have a “prep item” and something you will eventually use anyway. Those clothes might help out a friend or family member.
Focus on supplies, tools and other stuff of value during day to day life AND emergencies. Examples:
Big Berkey water filter, you can use it every day AND it helps a lot during an emergency (you can pretty much drink any crappy water using it).
Rainwater collection barrels. Water your garden, reduce water load AND have extra water if the faucet stops working.
Garden tools, seeds and a prepared garden can be a great passtime. Fresh veggies and fruit taste great. The tools and seeds (and skills) are also critical in an extended emergency.
Buy extra food when its on sale and store it. Save a few $ and have food you eat anyway in case you cant go to the store. It also protects you if there is a 3 day snowstorm. Stocking up on extra salt, sugar and other dry goods when they are on sale will actually save you money in good times AND protect you in bad times. Remember to eat the oldest food first.
Buy rechargeable batteries and a charger. Yes they are expensive up front. They save you in the long run. After only a few recharge cycles you are saving $. You also have a great emergency resource because you can recharge those AA / AAA using solar or crank.
If you hunt, having extra ammo, spare bolt carrier group, and extra ear and eye protection are all things that you use anyway AND they would serve you well in an extended emergency.
Wherever possible leverage the most obvious risks first.
Don’t forget Babies and Younger Children
Stock children’s and baby clothes, jackets, outerwear, shoes and underwear. Stock up at yard sales etc. Having them stored away gives you options. It is likely you will need to take care of a baby and then small children. Clothes, bottles, and all the stuff small kids need.
Worst case seal them up good in a suitcase and store in your attic. You need to make sure they are sealed, mice might move in.
Don’t forget Pets and Livestock
Remember that ALL your animals need clean drinking water and food. Again prepping for this can be as simple as extra bags of dog or cat food.
Are you BUGGING OUT?
Many people in prepper websites talk about a “bug out bag”. We don’t really consider those. We focus on the GET HOME BAG. The idea that you need to get to your safe place, not some how magically survive Long term in the wild. For us a “bug out bag” is more to evacuate due to a house fire, regional disaster, flooding etc.
For most people bugging in is far more realistic. The other name is “Shelter In Place”.
Learn now. Learn while its easy. Learn to Garden. Learn first aid, animal husbandry and hunting. Get books, watch videos and LEARN.
Skills are lightweight, travel with you and can be bartered in an emergency.
Critical STUFF You Need to be Prepared
The following is lists of things that you need. There are 100s if not 1000s of lists, many that are likely more comprehensive than this list. If you find that something is missing let me know in the comments. Remember this is a work in progress.
Note if you buy stuff through the links, we or our partners might get commissions (none will cost you more money).
Big Berkey Water Filter. Strongly recommended (must have). It is easy to use. The Berkey’s remove 99.999% of viruses, 99.9999% of pathogenic bacteria, chlorine, volatile organic compounds including pesticides and herbicides, and 95% of most heavy metals. Lifespan for Black Berkey filters is 3,000 gallons per filter (different specs for the older ceramic filters). It will filter out Nitrates but NOT nitrites.
Big Berkey(4 filters max) 2.25 gal — we own this one
**Remember you can drain water heater for drinkable water.
** when using contaminated water filter first with a TShirt or towel to strain out larger particulates then put into Berkey to turn it into drinking water
The average daily caloric intake for adult women is 1,600 to 2,400 calories per day and 2,000 to 3,000 calories per day for adult men.
Get 3 months of shelf stable food MINIMUM for each family member. Better to have one year.
Food types: such as your favorite canned goods, freeze dried food, and coast guard “SOS” bars. Mix it up the things you like. Eating the same thing every day is annoying. You can’t really get too much.
For food preps, make sure you taste test any freeze dried foods, some are quite unpleasant.
Premade, prepackaged freeze dried food is pricey but a freeze dryer is $2400 to $3400 and requires you to cook and then freeze the foods and change the filters and then mylar seal the food. https://harvestright.com/common55-1-1-15.html
If you are just want to BUY the food to avoid the work here are some options:
Keep 2 to 10+ charcoal bags and/or propane tanks. Keep extra gas cans in garage (at least two 5gal per vehicle – use annually at least and refill). If you have a fireplace ensure you have a 1year stockpile of wood even if you don’t regularly use it (backup heating).
Other related cooking recommendations
*A couple of HAND CAN OPENERS*
A rocket stove, or grill are simple inexpensive options to ensure you can cook food.
Water bath canner
Lots of canning jars and lots of lids
Multiple Crock pots
Large heavy duty pots/pans that can be used on OPEN FLAME
Copper still + distilling books
Cast iron cookware
Beer making gear/supplies
Wine making gear/supplies
If you have the funds and a camp or outbuilding, consider a wood fired Amish cooking stove.
Think about life without modern conveniences. Do you have a hand pump to pressurize a car tire. Do you have anything to cook with open flame? Do you have a way to dispose of human waste? A bucket and garbage bags is a poor mans off grid toilet. Do you have an extra pair of glasses?
Physical paper books are your friend. You can read them even if there is no computer, or internet. Get books on every important thing you can. Books on practical chemistry, medical, industrial, historical, constitution, federalist papers – a BIG library and duplicate books for trading.
Rechargeable Batteries Battery & USB Charger
Get a couple of each of these that you actually use (I suggest double what you think you need):
Solar USB Charger (lighting) It can charge your cellphone and charge rechargeable AA, AAA and 18650 batteries using the USB charger. I have tested the combo with AA, 18650 and AAA rechargeable batteries and it actually works.
I suggest 3 per vehicle (of whatever type) and multiple around the house + a number stored with the battery not in them with the freeze dried foods & water. I own all of these.
STRONGLY RECOMMENDED Emergency radio (receive only) Kaito 500 This can receive AM/FM, HAM and NOAA emergency broadcasts. It is a crank, solar, USB and internal battery and can charge other USB devices.
A gasoline, diesel or propane generator will keep your freezer going in the short term. The long term problem is fuel, you can not store enough. So heating with wood is likely your TEOTWAWKI fuel source.
As an example a propane generator will use 2 to 3 gallons per hour. That means a 1000gallon propane (which is about 800 gallons) will last about 400 hours at best (or 16 days). We use a lot of energy in modern life.
A modern gas station has 10,000 to 24,000 gallons of gasoline. A gasoline generator only uses about .75 gallons per hour. But that still means the big 10,000 will last 555 days and the huge 24,000 gallon tank will last 1300 days. In a major event you will want to turn the generator OFF whenever it isn’t absolutely necessary. Plus remember gasoline breaks down in few months to at most 2years.
Solar is an option. Remember its limitation – you only get it when it is sunny. It will slowly degrade over 10 to 20 years. It is fairly expensive at $1k to $2k per KW of generation. If you add batteries the price can be 2x to 8x.
If you are mechanically inclined and don’t mind heights this can be a good supplement to solar.
Even though you cant store enough for long term you CAN store enough in the short term. Storing fuel can be done.
Gasoline can be stored. It will last for a few months to a year before it should NOT be used in an engine. Unleaded that has ethanol also needs an additive or it will break down in a few months. If you add stabilizer and mix the gas, you can roughly double the storage life. More info: https://theprepared.com/homestead/guides/how-store-gasoline/
Can I make my own fuel? Technically yes. You can make biodiesel and woodgas but neither are straightforward and require expertise, tools and ongoing access to raw materials to create the fuel.
Propane in a properly sealed container can be stored indefinitely. A 500 gallon propane tank actually stores about 400 gallons, and the 1000 actually stores about 800 gallons.
Propane is probably the best prepper fuel for running a generator. But propane tanks are expensive. The current cost is $3500 to $5000 per 1000 gallon tank WITHOUT FUEL, plus transport and labor to hook it up.
you can get hot water in multiple ways, a gas or electric water hear, wood, gas or electric boiler, or geothermal. In a shorter term emergency you want to make you keep your electricity and fuel.
A longer term event is a challenge. A solar domestic hot water system or geothermal powered by solar, generator and/or wind is probably your best options. The sun will heat water even in the coldest of weather.
You can box frame a corner in a basement as a “wine cellar” (insulated from the house so it remains cool). Add shelves all the way around. Leave one corner for the water barrel to be on the floor so it can roll in and out of the room. The room can be used to store wine, and your freeze dried goods and other items like simple off the shelf canned goods your family likes. Freeze dried goods and canned goods last much longer at cooler “ground” temperatures. Also in a really bad situation ground temp is much warmer than -30F so it would be a spot to go to even without heat.
Root Cellar or Safe Room?
If you remodel consider putting in a root cellar/wine cellar/panic/tornado room/area (poured concrete with air feeds). Also consider putting sandbags in walls separating to exterior interior areas – it is a bit of a pain to do but gives you an area to retreat to in a home invasion. Drywall provides little to no protection from gunfire. If i remodel i will add it to master bedroom wall and other walls. This MIGHT get partially funded by FEMA
Alternately you can store under beds, on open shelves in a basement with old sheets over the items.
Barter & Misc items
Alcohol (also useful for medical and social uses)
Aspirin Ibuprofen The DOD & FDA found that 90% of over 100 OTC and prescription drugs were perfectly fine 15 YEARS after the expiration date.
Toilet paper, toothpaste, soap. A family friend who served in WW2 said the first time they went in they took all the ammo they could carry. The 2nd time they went in, the took all the toilet paper they could carry.
Regional paper maps. These get critical if electronic devices lose power or are destroyed. ie GPS is down or cellphones don’t work
You probably already have this covered… but if you haven’t. You want to get one or more of these. Maybe 2 of of the big kits and N+2 number of the smaller kits (at least one per vehicle and one to train with in a group).
Note: for the vehicle kits I also suggest you purchase a backpack and have full change of clothes, a map and appropriate rain/snow gear to make it walking home in that kit, including a lifestraw (GET HOME BAG)
You might consider a vacuum sealer as it can increase the life of stored products like food, rubber gloves, band aids and other items that degrade when exposed to oxygen. Another thing to consider are oxygen absorbers thrown in with a sealed item – whether in a vacuum storage bag or mylar bag.
Think Zombie Apocalypse… ANY WEAPON REQUIRES THAT YOU TRAIN WITH IT. Don’t buy any weapon unless you are serious. If it’s a “just in case” put them in a gun safe so they don’t get used against you. If you do want a firearm, train, keep it near you all the time at home. And practice at least couple times a year. Get extra magazines for every pistol/rifle type.
No single weapon meets every need.
Some pistol are small and concealable some are so big and heavy you wouldn’t carry it all the time. The AR gives lots of rounds but is large, long and weighs more than a pistol. The shotgun is versatile, filling multiple roles because of the diversity of ammo but fails to handle a zombie horde situation.
The 22 is lightweight and easy to train on, but has limited stopping power hunting deer with a 22 is not legal or recommended but it could still be a high capacity defense weapon. Each tool has its purpose and range of use. A hammer is not a wrench a wrench is not a screwdriver – the same goes for pistols, knives, shotguns, scoped bolt action rifles and AR/AK rifles.
Consider 9mm first (it is the most common). In a perfect world every family member uses the same type of pistol to share parts and magazines (at least try to buy in sets of 2).
Consider smaller (single stack) semi auto pistols, so they can be conceal carried EVERY DAY if needed. You are more likely to carry a light small one than a huge heavy one. If the zombies attack and you dont have it, its not doing you any good.
Regardless get one you are likely to put in your pocket and one that you can accurate fire even if it’s only a 22LR. If you can deal with a smaller double stack consider it as it gives you significantly more rounds – at the cost of weight.
Research First. Then handle the pistols in a gun shop. Then find a shooting range that does rentals. Go to the rental range and fire each pistol before purchasing
Compact 9mm (all of these are great guns) pick the one you shoot best)
9mm most common – recommended (90% of military and police carry 9mm)
Full Size Options. If it is complete chaos and the zombies are loose, the full size 9mm is a good option for side arm, open carry (a larger pistol on your hip). It has more rounds up to 19 and is generally easier to fire (and therefore more accurate for most people) due to the extra weight. Alternately a full size 40 or 45 are also options. I purchased a 45 and now wish i had purchased the 9mm full size and smaller single stack 9mm for ammo compatibility, accessibility, and simplicity. Larger magazines up to 30+ exist for pistols, but those are better in the AR/AK rifles.
The revolver as an alternative. It is much simpler. Less to go wrong, just pull the trigger). Less to learn, but slower to reload and lower ammo count. A full size 9mm can have 12 to 19 rounds whereas many revolvers are 5 or 6 rounds. Again depends if you think it will be one zombie or a whole horde.
The value of the revolver is the true simplicity – it is easer it operate, and works even in inexperienced hands – if you get a dud (fail to fire) you just pull the trigger again for the next round. The revolver is a good weapon but slightly wider and harder to conceal plus is more weight for less ammo, which is why most people are opting for the single stack 6 to 8 round semiauto 9mm pistol.
NOTE: If you buy online – you need to find a local FFL (local dealer to do the purchase paperwork and it will cost you $20 to $100 for local handling) or just buy them locally.
Consider conceal carry (CCW) permit even if you don’t carry every day
Stockpile at least 200 rounds per person and train at least 100 rounds per person per year. I recommend that you have WAY more than that.
Get spare magazines at least 7 for your primary weapon, preferably 7+ for all.
Magazine reload is fairly fast but is intended as backup or enough to retreat only or for 1:1 events – groups of zombies require AR / AK or shotgun to finish them
A pistol is reliable for home defense against 1 or 2 zombies not groups of zombies – if it is PURELY home defense consider the shotgun.
Shotguns are normally for hunting and home defense, not normally considered for heavy zombie combat as there are only 5 to 10 rounds. However with slap loading it can be fired fairly quickly. And there are now magazine fed auto-loading shotguns. Regardless. ammo weight and size reduces this to primarily defense / hunting – not large skirmish situations or long range snipe/hunt
Slower fire rate due to reload time but will drop a zombie cuz the shell is large or has multiple projectiles
Handle the Mossberg or Remington before you purchase it. I recommend either the Mossberg 590 or 500 – both are GREAT. Both have ghost ring sights which i prefer.
Nearly any Remington 12gauge – i prefer the adjustable stocks and am not into fiddling with taking the entire rifle apart and adding a new stock which is why I bought a mossberg 535 (which is almost the same as the 500 noted above) – i would seriously consider the 590 for the extra 4 rounds.
AMMO: Get bird hunting and slugs mixed 500+ rounds – consider some beanbag and/or rubber ammo if you aren’t sure they are zombies. Shoot at least 100 rounds for training
Downsides Expensive ammo; Heavy recoil – moderate to short range, hard to carry a lot of ammo
Upsides: stops zombies well, can mix slugs and shot for ammo flexibility; Good for bird / deer hunting; easy to use with limited training
Accurate at short to moderate range 30ft to 150ft possibly as far as 300ft with a slug.
The 12g Slug is good for large problems (through vehicle or armor) – there are a lot of different “custom” types of 12g ammo
If the 12 gauge is too much, consider the 20gauge or small 410. I dont recommend the 410 though, as it is not the multifunction weapon you get with the 12g or 20g. The 410 is still powerful in short distance, has lower kick but fewer projectiles (balls/shots) per shot, and the power is lower also.
You can get automatic shotguns from Remington, Mossberg, Bernoulli, and many others – but that adds complexity. There are even AR variants in 12 gauge. We recommend sticking with the pump shotgun is very reliable and well kept will last probably more than a lifetime.
Regardless – It is important to get a shotgun you can actually use accurately.
Long Rifles (Black Guns) Two AR15, AR10 or AK rifles
Out of these the “smart buy” is the AR556/223 (they are veru common)
All below are combat (multiple zombies with sustained action and can also be used for hunting)
Normally 20 to 40 rounds of ammo per magazine. Normally carry 2 to 6+ extra mags.
Very fast fire rate (not fully automatic but still fast) – fast reload with magazines with practice – accurate – lots of ammo options
Can carry rifle plus 2 to 4 magazines so 80 to 100 rounds is feasible for AR556/223 or 70 to 90 rounds for AK and 50 to 70 rounds for 308/7.62 – more mags = more rounds but more weight
The AR15, AR10 or AK format are incorrectly referred to as assault rifles (this is incorrect because none we can easily purchase are fully automatic)
In most cases a standard 16 or 18 inch AR/AK is a good balance as it can be used for hunting and defense from zombie hordes. Longer barrel lengths correlate to longer shots – generally the 308, 30-06, 6.5 and 50cal will come in 22 to 29+ inch barrels.
AR15 Rifle – using 556/223 ammo
Most common rifle (very frequently purchased) available in hundreds of configurations.
Standard 556/223 ammo is readily available (556 is a US Military standard Ammo at least today).
370 rounds of AR15 556/223 weighs about 10 pounds
The AR tends to be a bit more finicky about being cleaned. Unless you get a Bravo Company one which is very expensive but they are amazing. One shot over 10,000 rounds without cleaning.
Fairly long range less penetration – lightweight . Most common ammo and rifle in USA. Can be modified,
Moderate recoil, Decent long range
Poor to adequate vehicle stopping
Can carry 30+ per mag (weight),
With decent aim and correct ammo, can kill deer at a range of 500f tor more
All the AK magazines should be interchangeable so any AK 20, 30 or 40 round mag will work
Not as common as AR556/223
AR10 Rifle- fires a 308 or Mil7.62×54 US Caliber
Less common than the AR15 / AR556, slightly more common than the AK47 in the US.
Referred to as AR10. There are also bolt action rifles in 308. The range is much higher. There were confirmed successful shots using a 308 over a mile. This was with a high power scope and trained marksman.
AR10 Can be modified at least some as parts generally are compatible between AR15 and AR10.
About 190 rounds of 308/7.62×51 weighs 10 pounds
The 20round magazine weighs equal to or more than the 30 round AR magazine.
Ammo is reasonably available but is measurably more expensive than AR or AK.
Noticeable kick similar to shotgun.
Hunting rifle (any 30-06 or 308) again buy in pairs. GET A GOOD SCOPE, do not skimp.
Good vehicle stopping with careful aim and correct ammo
NOTE: Most AR10s use the same magazine (but do your research to be sure)
Easily can kill deer within line of sight (if you can aim at it and see it you can kill it)
You will STOP the zombie if you can aim
Alternate rifles – ammo include the 30-06 (popular in the midwest) or creedmoor. Both the creedmoor and 30-06 are more hunting /long range / sniper and are not readily found in 20+ round magazine (mostly bolt rifle or 4 to 10 round flush magazines). 50cal is crazy expensive (cost of a car) but makes zombies go away before they even see you.
The AR has interchangeable parts so you can remake it to about any layout you want. Which is why i recommend the AR556 (which can also shoot the less powerful 223 round). Note you cannot shoot a 556 in 223 but you can shoot a 223 in a 556. So get a 556.
Even with zombies in the house you can clear rooms with a shorter AR but be warned it is amazingly loud, having ear protection is a MUST.
22LR Pistol and Rifle (get 2 of each)
22LR is a must have. Very low cost ammo, can kill, but ammo is rimfire so is unreliable. Far an away most likely ammo to be found in any home – easy to carry a 400+ rounds of ammo as its lightweight – a 25round mag will suppress bad guys the same as an AR but has much lower stopping power
1330 rounds = 10 pounds
Fast fire rate – fast reload
Two Ruger 10/22 rifles – most common rifle in USA
Very versatile – young people could use to hunt small game or even for self defense in a pinch. Poachers hunt deer with this 22LR rifle. Great for rabbits and other SMALL game. You need to be great shot for DEER so you don’t just wound it.
Not as reliable for self defense – jams because its rimfire (shotgun, AR/AK, 9mm, 380acp and so on centerfire and therefore more reliable)
Rifle is accurate to 200ft – much farther with practice
Can be used for suppressive fire even by gun averse people for groups of zombie attackers, but requires AR-AK and/or Shotgun to finish the job
There are 22LR conversions kits for AR rifles and purpose built ARtype 22LR – these are generally for plinking (target shooting) or small game only – and still suffer from fail to fire or jamms because they are rimfire
There are MANY LR22 ammo options. I suggest 1000 rounds of cci stinger 22lr ammo and round nose high velocity from CCI or Federal. Others like federal are also good.
I personally like copper coated or copper wash 22LR, however, they provide no discernible effect on the ammo. A lead round nose round is the same as a copper coated lead round nose, just slightly more expensive. If you handle a lot you can get the lead on your hands, which is why i prefer the copper coating.
Many consider the 22LR too small and too UN-reliable for zombies, but you can carry 100s of rounds easily, fire fast, clear the jams fairly fast and throw a lot of lead down range at a distance with a 10/22 rifle. It is a great all round small caliber varmint rifle.
Having an extra bolt action rifle that matches your largest center fire – gives you an option for long range deer hunting with a decent mechanical scope.
Other Weapons related Items
Electronic ear muffs. http://amzn.to/2wzasXI They magnify sound (like hearing aids) and still protect you from the rifle/pistol/shotgun blast. These can pick up audio better than straight hearing by 2x or more. (uses AA Batteries) I have 4 of these
1st it’s VERY loud, so be prepared. Plan to protect windows and doors. Plywood with sandbags in-between and along window openings creates a secure shield – note the regular walls and plywood alone will not stop 308 or shotgun slug and might not stop 223/556 or even some 9mm.
Other wall alternatives are brick and/or ICF (Insulated concrete form) where walls are entirely concrete. When you are being “shot at” OR “shooting at” someone, remember in most cases, walls will slow but not stop rounds.
Supply chain is royally messed up right now. It isn’t a disaster…. YET. The one two punch of inflation and supply chain problems are feeding off each other. It is going to get worse before it gets better. And a people aren’t really recognizing the problems yet.
Although most of the news is bad…. here is a bit of good news. Capitalism doing its thing 🙂
It is the infrastructure, ships, ports, railroads, trucks and delivery vehicles across the world. No one person completely controls it, and it is highly independent yet INTERDEPENDENT. Power, fuel, weather, politics and health (ie covid) all impact the supply chain.
Why should I care about about the supply chain?
Because nearly all your food, your electricity, power, all the stuff you buy locally or through Amazon or other websites uses the supply chain.
What Can I do to Prepare?
Stock up on food, paper products, feminine products and other common goods you would buy anyway. I know this action will result in higher demand, but there is no guarantee that the supply chain will recover quickly.
Even if I am wrong you will have supplies of food and paper products that you would have anyway.
Take responsibility for your own well being.
Skip fast food and going out to dinner – and invest that in a few more items in your pantry (build long term food storage).
Learn to cook foods you like. Learn to bake bread, learn to cook at least seven favorite dinners. Try out things while they are available.
Stock up on foods you eat. Buy your favorite canned goods, frozen meat etc. preferably when they are on sale. If you eat rice, dried beans or bake bread, buy a 25lb bag and separate it into 1 or 5 pound mylar bags with oxygen absorbers and put in a food grade bucket. Remember, ONLY buy foodstuff you do know how to use. https://commonsensehome.com/prepping-food-storage/
International ports in Taiwan Mundra Port (India), Port of Shanghai (China), Port of Singapore, Port of Tianjin (China), Port of Guangzhou (China), Port of Ningbo (China), Port of Rotterdam (Netherlands), Port of Suzhou (China), Port of Qingdao (China), Port of Dalian (China), Port of Busan (South Korea) – and nearly all the others are backlogged.
The Ports of Los Angeles, Long Beach, Newark/New York, Savannah, Houston, Seattle, Norfolk, Tacoma, Charleston, Oakland and the other 20 ports are pretty much entirely backlogged. Click the marinetraffic website link above for details on any specific port.
Even when the ships can unload the trucks cant get it out of the way fast enough (or there are none).
Other Supply Chain is getting Backlogged also
Whether it is trains/rail yards, Fedex, UPS, USPS or just semi trucks. The supply chain in the USA is maxed out.
To understand why we are in trouble you need to understand the supply chain when it was working. The supply chain is built out of 1000s of private businesses. Who ships where is mostly based on COST. If one route is cheaper it is used. If you can shorter the supply chain and get closer to just in time you save more money. This has been occurring since the 1950s. We squeezed out a LOT of floating inventory over the years.
Almost the entire supply chain is designed “just in time”. It is designed for nearly 100% use at all times. This means there aren’t huge stockpiles sitting in warehouses. Stockpiles cost money to buy, store, protect and then move again. It is better to move it directly to the consumer so the system is the storage.
Warehouses and stockpiles are extremely expensive. The warehouses that do exist are designed to distribute supplies, goods and such immediately not hold for long periods
Why is the supply chain failing now?
The supply chain is failing because of
COVID backlog (pent up demand)
Economic Growth (new demand)
Normal seasonal demand changes
Fewer people wanting to work for whatever reason.
Supply and Demand
During COVID the planet slowed down manufacturing, mining, construction etc. COVID created a backlog of demand. When COVID let up and that pent up demand hit the market. This “backlog” was between 5% and 15% for the entire period (delayed delivery)
The economy started to pick up (creating a modest increase in demand) in late 2020 and early 2021 as we got out of the 1st parts of COVID. The numbers vary but on the low end its 1% and on the high side its 5%
Normal Seasonal Demand
Shipping “peaks” normally August thru November of each year (so that is the peak capacity). The system runs at lower than 100% from late December through July/Aug of each year.
This means ships, container counts, trucks, ports, trains etc were set up for a certain peak season (and no more). If they had to much capacity they paid for functionality they wouldnt need (lost money).
Fewer People Working
For whatever reason, even though there is demand for workers, people aren’t applying for jobs. This is creating shortages in the supply chain because extra shifts cant be staffed, or more truckers can’t be put on the road.
Delays also pile on top of each other. If you are a chip maker waiting on silicon and the mining company and processors are waiting too you get this cascading effect.
If a ship is waiting (doing nothing) another person is waiting for it so their shipping is delayed also. On top of it, if someone pays a LOT more they get their shipping in over other people (jump in line) and that creates longer delays again.
Supply and Demand
Even though governments control some markets and control some means of production, overall supply and demand rule. So a change in supply like a shrunk supply because a supplier cant get parts impacts that market, and those can overlap into other markets. Paper/Cloth for masks ate up a lot of supply for other paper products such as napkins, toilet paper, etc etc.
Consumer demand adds onto the mess. We want X so the market tries to supply X at a profit.
Also even when there is supply there could be contractual or equipment challenges. If I grow potatoes for french fries and have all the equipment for that all set up just in time, and now the demand for fries drops but the demand for freeze dried potatoes jumps, it isnt easy to switch mid stream. Plus i might not want to switch in case my vendor (the person I supply) might start asking for my product again.
How those 6 factors cause more backlog
We have a system that is designed to run close to 100% from August through November of each year. We saw COVID increase demand by at least 5% to as much as 25% due to backlogs. We saw a 1% to 5% growth.
We are still seeing reduced staffing (compared to demand). So the supply of ships, trucks, dock workers is all lower than the demand.
If we add that all up, the “slow” season ends up slightly over 100% utilization and now we enter the heavy shipping season. We end up 110% to 130% utilization. With no end in sight.
Other signs things are getting worse
There are supply chain special forces teams hired now. They track down supplies that are “lost” (delayed) and manually getting them expedited via other means. These existed in rare cases historically, now they are critical for some business to remain in business, because they cannot get parts.
Unrelated items pile on. Lower wheat supplies, oil and gas issues in Europe and spreading. There are a lot of indicators of bigger problems.
Yes. The market can recover from this. Assuming there are no more hits. Recovery estimates vary from 12 to 36 months. People will build more ships, more port processing, alternative shipping, offer more money for workers.
If there is money to be made it will happen, but not quickly given the SIZE of the problem. The problem is we are seeing secondary impacts that are hard to follow. Natural Disaster disruption, further COVID challenges, inflation, and/or new cascading supply chain problems.
Unfortunately, I believe the odds are that the problems will be with us for years. My opinion is 1-2 years is about a 20% chance 3-5 years is a 60% chance and 6-9 years is a 90% chance of full recovery. I believe it will take longer because demand is sporadic to begin with, and governments generally make changes without measuring, so they will muck-about in the private sector hindering recovery while hoping to “fix” the problem.
The only things that would speed things up when governments get involved, are tax breaks and simplified regulation for supply chain investment (tech, people and capital).
Do the Supply Chain Problems Increase Inflation?
YES. The supply chain problems are causing inflation. In some cases HUGE price spikes. A specific brand of cooking oil went from $22 to $31 to $44 in a 18 month cycle. That is much higher than the reported 6% inflation.
Car and truck prices are way up. Some electronics are in very short supply or not available at all. The disruption in availability of goods results in increased prices. Lower supply with same demand results in HIGHER cost.
Inflation is an entirely different discussion but at a high level the inflation is fed by and feeds into the supply chain problems. The two are tied together. A robust stable supply chain means lower costs overall. But today 3 full round trips of a large container ship can nearly pay for a new one (without inflation). Something is going to have to shift at some point.
“The one you can hit a target with and one you can and will carry ALL THE TIME.”
Before you buy a pistol
Visit a local range, or a friend and try firing different pistols. Try out a Glock, Sig Sauer, Ruger and any others you can get your hands on. Start with a 9mm Glock, Sig or other pistol. Focus on small size and light weight so you can carry it ALL THE TIME. If you can not hit your target with a 9mm, try 380acp, then if 380acp is too much drop to a 22LR.
Do not buy any pistol or rifle unless you plan to practice using it!
Using a pistol requires knowledge. It requires that you learn to use and maintain it properly. You MUST practice. A lack of knowledge and practice is extremely dangerous. It can result in killing yourself or someone else unintentionally. Having a pistol without knowledge is more likely to get YOU killed than protect you.
Only buy a handgun you can accurately shoot
You need to be comfortable firing the weapon and must be able to consistently use it in a stressful situation, whether its a knife, pistol or rifle. A weapon you can’t or won’t use is a liability. The rifle or pistol is a tool for hunting or defense. A larger caliber (that you can control) is better than a smaller caliber.
Plan to pay at least 3 times the cost of the pistol
The pistol plus locks, cases, holsters, sights, magazines, ammo and cleaning gear is going to cost a lot. And training with a pistol can be expensive, especially for range time and even more ammo. The real cost is more like $2000 plus the cost of the pistol.
What matters when buying a pistol?
Size. The physical size of the pistol is CRITICAL. A pistol needs to be small enough to go in a pocket or belly/belt holster. The size of the ammo impacts the conceal-ability also. The 45acp, 357 and other larger rounds, will limit the number of rounds you can carry every day. Smaller is generally better.
Weight. If you want to conceal carry every day, the weight of the pistol AND the weight of the ammo will impact your ability to carry it every single day. Ounces are pounds when you carry all day. Lighter is better.
Accuracy. I might fire a Glock 43 well and you might not. You might fire a Sig P365 or a Ruger LCP well and I might not. Personal preference, hand size, grip, posture and style are all things to consider when buying. Accuracy is what stops bad guys.
Caliber. The type of ammo, 380acp, 38 special, 9mm, 357, .40 S&W, 45acp or even the lowly 22LR. The larger the round the bigger the kick and the fewer you can carry in a concealable handgun.
Ok, so I listed a bunch of pistols. The bad news, is, it does not matter what pistols I like. It ONLY matters if you fire it well.
Example: As a family we tried firing a dozen pistols. We were very accurate with the Glock 26 Gen2, but every single one of us got pinched by it. No one wanted to fire it because of the pinch – even though we fired it well. I could not buy a pistol that our entire family was unsure of firing.
Selecting a Pistol
How does the pistol fit in your hand? Do the sights line up naturally? Some people like the angle of the Glock others like the Sig or Springfield. If there was a one size fits all there would not be so many pistols in the market.
Some guys in WWII were horrible with the Springfield rifle but great with TommyGun. You need to try out weapons to know what will fit you personally.
What about the 22LR?
Many people don’t recommend the 22LR. However, a 22 is still better than no defense at all. It is lethal but has a 31% one stop shot failurerate compared to 13% to 17% with all other centerfire ammo types. This means you are 2x as likely to NOT stop someone with a single shot with a 22LR.
There are multiple downsides to the 22LR. It is it is a small round. It does not penetrate through glass or barriers well. It is limited in stopping range. It is rim fire not center fire which leads to miss fires and fail to fire. On the positive side it is very small and inexpensive.
The Ruger SR22 22LR pistol is a great little semi-auto pistol. It is a 10 round, 17.5oz 3.5” Barrel with overall length of 6.5”. In a TEOTWAWKI situation the SR22 might be a real alternative because 10/22 is so cheap and lightweight. 22LR is the most plentiful ammo in made in the USA followed by 9mm then shotgun then 556.
The Walther P22 QD, Smith & Wesson M&P22C and Ruger LCP 22lr are decent small to mid-sized semi auto pistols. Some other 22lr pistols include the: Heritage Rough Rider revolver, a number of NAA 22LR revolvers, and Glock 44.
Ammo standardization means you try to get all your pistols and possibly even rifles in the same ammo. The two most common pistol options are 9mm and 22LR. There are carbine rifles that fire 9mm and even the popular KelTec Sub 2000 9mm with a magazine matching Glock, Beretta or Sig.
Remember – Buy the pistol, ammo and rifles that fit your need or “mission”, that you can hit the target with.
More About Ammo: Try out ammo on targets before you buy a lot. You might be way more accurate with a particular type of ammo in a particular rifle or pistol. Stockpile ammo when it is on sale. Store it in a cool DRY space. Old military ammo cans are cheap to store bulk ammo and have seals.
So how many pistols should you own? If you ask most preppers the answer is “YES” or “LOTS” or “ALL OF THEM” or “As many as you can afford”. I recommend a pocket pistol for every family member, preferably two. And even more if you are worried about TEOTWAWKI.
I strongly recommend buying the pistols in sets of two or more. Buying the same pistols at the same time ensures parts can be shared between them. Almost any prepper will tell you, two is one and one is none.
Consider a couple of backup revolvers chambered in your primary pistol ammo. A revolver has much fewer moving parts so less to break in SHTF and TEOTWAWKI. Be warned they are not as fast to reload even with moon clips.
Why Pick a 9mm Pistol?
I recommend a 9mm because it is widely available and is a good balance of power and size. Choose a compact 6 to 11 round semi-auto pistol -Sig P365, Sig P932, Ruger LC9S, Glock43, Glock26, S&W Shield and numerous others. (see list Best Pistol Recommendations above)
You might also consider the: 380acp, 38 special, 357 or 45acp. I know i am a broken records but ONLY purchase a pistol you can consistently hit the target with. Find a friend who has guns or go to a range and try each type of weapon. The largest caliber you can consistently hit the bullseye with is the one you should get (possibly downsizing to the 9mm or at least 45acp if you can handle a Desert Eagle).
Why Consider a Revolver?
It is a good choice depending on the situation. It is somewhat harder to conceal and for most people a magazine is easier to reload quickly than a moon clip/speed loader.
If I had to pick just one revolver… I am not sure what I would pick. Maybe would go with Ruger LCR22 or LCR9 because of the widely available ammo or the Ruger LCR357 because it gives you the option of 357 and 38 special ammo.
If I wanted a 22LR revolver, I would consider the Ruger LCR22, Ruger Single Six or Ruger Single 10. The larger ones will likely last multiple lifetimes. The big advantage is even if the round doesn’t fire, just pull the trigger again. Note: the trigger pull on most revolvers is harder than a semi-auto pistol.
Before you chose a pistol, consider its use.
Best open carry pistol? An open carry pistol is one that is in a belt holster or shoulder holster. Consider the Glock 19 – 17round 9mm pistol. 9mm is available everywhere and it is 2 to 3 shots to stop someone. Others to consider include: Sig Sauer, S&W, Springfield, FN, and Ruger. Remember if you fire a pistol better BUY THAT ONE.
Primary Conceal Carry / Every Day Carry (EDC): The 10rnd Sig Sauer P365 and 11rnd Springfield Hellcat are good for a primary Conceal Carry Weapon (CCW). Popular alternatives are the Ruger LCP, Glock 43 and the S&W Bodyguard. If you are ok with a physically larger pistol consider other pistols such as the FN, Beretta, Ruger, Walther, H&K and 120 other manufacturers.
Backup gun? We recommend the Ruger LCP II for deep conceal or backup gun or “BUG”. Note the LCP II doesn’t support +P ammo. I prefer +P but will take the LCP II anyway (a gun is better than NO gun). Others include the tiny NAA revolvers.
Why Smaller Pistols? I recommend the Bug or EDC small to mid sized pistols. A smaller pistol can go in a pocket and weighs less. You are more likely to carry something that is not huge. A military phrase is “Ounces are Pounds” meaning carrying something all the time makes it seem MUCH heavier than it is. So smaller is good (assuming you shoot it well).
Ammo standardization? I said it already but I am saying it again, consider picking a primary pistol, shotgun and rifle ammo.
If you are getting a single type of pistol for the entire family, you can share parts and expertise. The LCP 380, Glock 43 or 9mm Sig P365 is good for deeper conceal. For a larger pistol, the 9mm Glock 17 or 19 is a good pick because there are a LOT of those around.
Plant a garden, then try perennials (apples/berries), then chickens, then the four footed critters. Know where your food comes from and how to get it yourself if necessary.
Team up and attend EVERY public govt meeting. Stick your nose into everything. School boards, election commissions, town, village, city, county, state or federal. Show up. The soldiers who died on Normandy beaches showed up, the fireman and police who died in the line of duty showed up. The least we can do is sit through some crappy meetings and speak up.
Run for office. Get out there or at least help someone on your team get out there and represent us. We won’t agree 100% of the time, we might even fight but we will support the rule of law, the US Constitution and freedom without question.
Work to eliminate any rules, laws, policies or standards that do NOT comply with the US Constitution and State Constitution.
Vote with your $. Buy local. Buy products and services that build up the Country.
Team up, build up your community, work together, work with your church and community centers. Look out for your neighbors, take personal responsibility.
Get your family and friends (your team) to do take action, and review this list.
“If you are going through hell, keep going.” ― Winston S. Churchill
Assume EVERYTHING you do electronically or near electronic devices is watched. But don’t stop speaking. Speak like you are telling a million people something. Speak honorably, openly and freely. If you are getting shut down- find a way to speak. Choose your words.
Get Signal (smartphone app) and/or Viber on your Smartphone, and make sure your friends and family have it. It is also FULLY encrypted but Signal and Viber use data (internet) for texting and voice, so it will increase your data plan if you pay per GB for data. I do not recommend Telegram because not all communications are encrypted (its ok just not my fav).
Use freedom loving Social Media Gab & Parler (if it ever recovers). If you get locked out of Facebook or Twitter – consider leaving those services permanently. Even if the app is blocked, you can go to the websites. I no longer recommend MeWe because they are banning specific political groups.
Create 3 or more unique emails. 1st for junkmail/registrations. 2nd for friends and family and 3rd for banking/payments etc.
Use Hotmail, Yahoo or such for your 1st junkmail (when vendors force you to register using an email).
Turn on two-factor (two step) authentication for your phone, email, social media, banking etc. Two-factor is absolutely necessary. Turn it on ANYWHERE you can. If you don’t know how, ask your friends and family. Get everyone to use it.
Use LastPass Family (cheap) or Keepass (free) to manage your passwords. Set different passwords everywhere don’t reuse them. Longer passwords (pass phrases) like “I want 2 drink beer!” are harder to crack and easier for you to remember – customize them to something specific to you.
Remember to cancel every account you are not using (credit cards, social media, services, email, etc)
Get your conceal carry license. Focus on small lightweight pistols you can carry every day, and practice, or don’t get a pistol.
Start Beekeeping – or at least support local beekeepers. Honey lasts forever.
Learn trades: welding, forging, plumbing, electrical, etc.
If you have skills, TEACH SOMEONE.
Many of us are military veterans, or served in another way: police, fire, teachers, healthcare or just volunteered in the Cajun Navy. We may or may not have sworn the oath. If you haven’t said it, say it to your family – say it out loud to each other – and keep it.
“I will support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic. I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same. I take this obligation freely, without any mental reservation or purpose of evasion;
I will act in good faith working to improve the lives of everyone in all situations, respecting the sacrifices of those who died before me; So help me God.“
If you feel alone or outnumbered, remember
‘Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed, citizens can change the world. Indeed, it is the only thing that ever has.’ — Margaret Mead
In dark days, remember these words
“Perseverance and spirit have done wonders in all ages.” ― George Washington
God Bless – and even if you don’t believe in God, take action that will leave a positive legacy.
Signed, James Franklin, Great, Great, Great Grandson of Silence Dogood
Mask up if you want to. If you are sick with Covid or Influenza (or aren’t sure if you are sick) stay home. If you must travel when sick if you suspect you are sick, definitely mask up. There is evidence that it reduces transfer for a sick person.
With the demonstrated risk of face masks; mask wearing should be a choice, not a legal mandate that includes fines and jail time.
But legally mandating masks is simply wrong. There is no widespread scientific support for forced mask use. If you are support or are a government official thinking about mandating masks because of increasing infections you are looking at the wrong measure. Instead focus on deaths and hospitalization rates, those are the only two that count. If your hospital ICU load is over 50% regionally, or your death rates spike focus on that. Focus on protecting nursing homes, over 40% of deaths have been from people in nursing homes.
What about the petri-dish video? It is true it reduces particulates directly in front of the individual. That video doesn’t show real world data as noted below. It doesn’t show numerous other videos show the plume and particles around the individual and trailing the walking individual. If masks worked so well how did it get out of China?
The following are 34 references with links to studies indicating little, or no positive results from wearing a mask to stop the transfer of viruses.
(1) Moisture retention, reuse of cloth masks and poor filtration may result in increased risk of infection. Further research is needed to inform the widespread use of cloth masks globally. However, as a precautionary measure, cloth masks should not be recommended for HCWs, particularly in high-risk situations, and guidelines need to be updated.
(3) “…evidence from 14 randomized controlled trials of these measures did not support a substantial effect on transmission of laboratory-confirmed influenza. We similarly found limited evidence on the effectiveness of improved hygiene and environmental cleaning. We identified several major knowledge gaps requiring further research, most fundamentally an improved characterization of the modes of person-to-person transmission.”
(4) We know that wearing a mask outside health care facilities offers little, if any, protection from infection…. In many cases, the desire for widespread masking is a reflexive reaction to anxiety over the pandemic.
(5) — There is limited evidence that wearing a medical mask by healthy individuals in households, in particular those who share a house with a sick person, or among attendees of mass gatherings may be beneficial as a measure preventing transmission.(41, 56-61)
(6) Results from cluster randomized controlled trials on the use of masks among young adults living in university residences in the United States of America indicate that face masks may reduce the rate of influenza-like illness, but showed no impact on risk of laboratory-confirmed influenza.(62, 63) …. At present, there is no direct evidence (from studies on COVID19 and in healthy people in the community) on the effectiveness of universal masking of healthy people in the community to prevent infection with respiratory viruses, including COVID-19.https://apps.who.int/iris/rest/bitstreams/1279750/retrieve
(7) Our study revealed a decrease in the oxygen saturation of arterial pulsations (SpO2) and a slight increase in pulse rates compared to preoperative values in all surgeon groups. The decrease was more prominent in the surgeons aged over 35.
(9) Wearing N95 masks results in hypooxygenemia and hypercapnia which reduce working efficiency and the ability to make correct decision. Medical staff are at increased risk of getting ‘Severe acute respiratory syndrome'(SARS), and wearing N95 masks is highly recommended by experts worldwide. However, dizziness, headache, and short of breath are commonly experienced by the medical staff wearing N95 masks. The ability to make correct decision may be hampered, too. The purpose of the study was therefore to evaluate the physiological impact of N95 mask on medical staff.
(10) “Chronic hypoxia-hypercapnia influences cognitive function” (proper mask wearing is linked to hypoxia)
(11) N95-masked health-care workers (HCW) were significantly more likely to experience headaches. Face mask use was not demonstrated to provide benefit in terms of cold symptoms or getting colds.
Jacobs, J. L. et al. (2009) “Use of surgical face masks to reduce the incidence of the common cold among health care workers in Japan: A randomized controlled trial,” American Journal of Infection Control, Volume 37, Issue 5, 417 – 419. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19216002
(12) A post hoc comparison between the mask versus no-mask groups showed a protective effect against clinical respiratory illness, but not against ILI and laboratory-confirmed viral respiratory infections. (so masks reduced clinical respiratory illness but didn’t stop influenza like illness (covid19 falls in the ILI category).
(13) The rates of CRI, ILI and laboratory-confirmed virus infections were lowest in the medical mask arm, followed by the control arm, and highest in the cloth mask arm. (In a nushell cloth masks were WORSE)
(16) None of the studies reviewed showed a benefit from wearing a mask, in either HCW or community members in households (H). See summary Tables 1 and 2 therein.
Cowling, B. et al. (2010) “Face masks to prevent transmission of influenza virus: A systematic review,” Epidemiology and Infection, 138(4), 449-456. https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/epidemiology-and-infection/article/face-masks-to-prevent-transmission-of-influenza-virus-a-systematic- review/64D368496EBDE0AFCC6639CCC9D8BC05
(17) Reported that cloth masks are only marginally beneficial in protecting individuals from particles less than 2.5 micrometers. As referenced in the New England Journal of Medicine, the size of Coronavirus particles varied between 0.06 micrometers and 0.14 micrometers.
(18) Wearing a mask for seven hours straight may not be safe. Carbon dioxide (CO2) rebreathing has been recognized as a concern in the Ergonomics Journal. The CDC has also admitted that the CO2 slowly builds up in the mask over time. This build-up can cause a condition called Hypercapnia. Essentially, CO2 poisoning – can cause mild symptoms of drowsiness or a headache. More severe symptoms can cause shortness of breath and even death.
(19) On May 6th, 2020, the New York Post reported the death of two boys dying within a week of each other while wearing a face mask during gym class.
(20) “There were 17 eligible studies. … None of the studies established a conclusive relationship between mask/respirator use and protection against influenza infection.”
bin-Reza et al. (2012) “The use of masks and respirators to prevent transmission of influenza: a systematic review of the scientific evidence,” Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses 6(4), 257–267. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/j.1750-2659.2011.00307.x
(21) “Breathing through N95 mask materials have been shown to impede gaseous exchange and impose an additional workload on the metabolic system of pregnant healthcare workers. The benefits of using an N95 mask to prevent serious emerging infectious diseases should be weighed against potential respiratory consequences associated with extended N95 respirator usage.
(22) “We identified six clinical studies … . In the meta-analysis of the clinical studies, we found no significant difference between N95 respirators and surgical masks in associated risk of (a) laboratory-confirmed respiratory infection, (b) influenza-like illness, or (c) reported work-place absenteeism.”
Smith, J.D. et al. (2016) “Effectiveness of N95 respirators versus surgical masks in protecting health care workers from acute respiratory infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis,” CMAJ Mar 2016 https://www.cmaj.ca/content/188/8/567
(23) “Self-reported assessment of clinical outcomes was prone to bias. Evidence of a protective effect of masks or respirators against verified respiratory infection (VRI) was not statistically significant”
Radonovich, L.J. et al. (2019) “N95 Respirators vs Medical Masks for Preventing Influenza Among Health Care Personnel: A Randomized Clinical Trial,” JAMA. 2019; 322(9): 824–833. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2749214
(24) “Among 2862 randomized participants, 2371 completed the study and accounted for 5180 HCW-seasons. … Among outpatient health care personnel, N95 respirators vs medical masks as worn by participants in this trial resulted in no significant difference in the incidence of laboratory-confirmed influenza.”
Radonovich, L.J. et al. (2019) “N95 Respirators vs Medical Masks for Preventing Influenza Among Health Care Personnel: A Randomized Clinical Trial,” JAMA. 2019; 322(9): 824–833. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2749214
(25) “A total of six RCTs involving 9,171 participants were included. There were no statistically significant differences in preventing laboratory-confirmed influenza, laboratory-confirmed respiratory viral infections, laboratory-confirmed respiratory infection, and influenza-like illness using N95 respirators and surgical masks. Meta-analysis indicated a protective effect of N95 respirators against laboratory-confirmed bacterial colonization (RR = 0.58, 95% CI 0.43-0.78). The use of N95 respirators compared with surgical masks is not associated with a lower risk of laboratory-confirmed influenza.”
(26) “Medical staff are at increased risk of getting ‘Severe acute respiratory syndrome’ (SARS), and wearing N95 masks is highly recommended by experts worldwide. However, dizziness, headache, and short of breath are commonly experienced by the medical staff wearing N95 masks. The ability to make correct decision may be hampered, too.“
(27) Per OSHA masks dont work – “Surgical masks are not designed or certified to prevent the inhalation of small airborne contaminants.”
(28) After 1,537 operations performed with face masks, 73 (4.7%) wound infections were recorded and, after 1,551 operations performed without face masks, 55 (3.5%) infections occurred. This difference was not statistically significant (p> 0.05) and the bacterial species cultured from the wound infections did not differ in any way… These results indicate that the use of face masks might be reconsidered.
Fear mongering by the media and gov officials is rampant. Stop paying attention to infections and start paying attention to hospitalization and death rates. Here are facts.
Nationwide “excess deaths” (total deaths) are down. Note they are below the norm (brown line).
Hospitalizations are down. This graph lists covid19 visits based on age. There are local hospitals overloaded or nearly so, but that doesn’t match the overall trend nationwide. Note there is a slight uptick but nothing above the dashed line. Also note we never went over 16% (remember we were told we would hit 100% and overwhelm the entire healthcare system.) The only place that got overwhelmed was New York that I know of – and they weren’t really overwhelmed – they barely used their hospital ship and didn’t really open any of the temporary military hospitals/hotels.
Another interesting infographic shows real time hospital utilization. In this case I selected New York (the largest caseload). They are 22.48% no where near 100% utilization. Proof that there are no true “hot spots” nationally (again there may be locally).
Looking exclusively at Covid19 Death vs Infection rates the graphs are opposite. Note the increasing trend started June 14, so we are more than 14 days in without a corresponding increase in hospitalization or deaths.
The graph below is the “scary upward trend” – but note it doesn’t correlate to hospitalizations OR deaths. We have MORE than flattened the curve, now we are flattening livelihoods and freedom instead.
By all measures that matter, the situation is improving. Before you say the hospitalizations will spike, the 14 day infection / hospitalization cycle is not reflecting spikes (we are over 3 weeks since June 14 when the upward trend started).
There are LOCAL situations where the hospitals are full or nearly full – that is why we have a hospital SYSTEM in the US that allows patients to be transferred.
We are collectively in single digit to low double digit hospitalization rates in 95%+ areas of the USA. There is no need for the fear mongering, the high infection – low death rate ratio should be GOOD NEWS.SOURCE DATA:CDC hospitalization rate decreases (curve) graph with red
The simple answer is because bad things WILL happen. The odds are stacked in favor the house. The problem is in our case, the “house” is the bad luck.
Planning and preparing never matches reality. But a plan and the resources, process and knowledge can be applied when things change.
“In preparing for battle, I have always found that plans are useless but planning is indispensable.”
Dwight D Eisenhower
The example below shows the likelihood or “odds” of a given event. Note these are our personal estimates of odds. You can calculate using your own numbers.
The main point is that in a 20 year window, some things that seem unlikely become far more likely. If you extend everything to a lifetime of 78 years the odds get even higher. (see below)
These are estimates only and intended to show that risk varies with the type of event, region and length. I am positive some of the numbers are wrong, but they are not wildly wrong.
Use these numbers as starting point. You should plan on the likely risks and you will likely protect yourself from at least a portion of the less likely but bigger impact risks. The impact could be no power, no fuel and no transportation during a flood or snowstorm or earthquake, even if it is limited to your location.
No plan of operations extends with any certainty beyond the first contact with the main hostile force.
Helmuth von Moltke
Calculating the odds of a Hurricane
Some math will help you figure out the likelihood of a risk. The chance of a hurricane for someone in a hurricane prone area is 5% or higher each year. That means you have a 95% chance annually of NOT being in a hurricane. For a 10 year period you multiple .95 by itself 10 times or .95 to the 10th power. That means it’s only 40% chance of NOT having a hurricane over 10 years. In reverse that means you have a 60% chance that there WILL be a hurricane in 10 years. This varies a LOT where you live. That is one of the reasons insurance companies will generally charge a lot for hurricane insurance, the odds are not in their favor.
Calculating the odds of a Solar Flare (CME)
A major solar flare is also called a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME). I is similar to an EMP (Electro Magnetic Pulse) from a nuclear bomb – but could last much longer. Solar flares hit earth regularly and the odds are that a big one will eventually hit earth.
The 1859 CME light show and electromagnetic storm lasted for two days. It affected the entire planet. Telegraph wires started on fire, telegraph machines scorched paper printouts, stunned operators with shocks, transmitted gibberish, and continued working for hours even after being unplugged from the batteries that powered them. Even at this lower level it would be devastating to our modern electronic environment. A tiny solar flare event caused Toronto to be without power for an entire day in 1989.
What are the odds? It’s 2 times in 160 years, or a 1.25% chance each year. Lets even skip the small one in 1989 and assume only 1 in 160 years. Once in 160 years is a .63% chance. The math says the chance of a major solar flare is 6.08% in 10 years or about 1 in 16. So it seems crazy because the odds of 0.63% per year are low, but the math does not support luck; luck runs out.
Calculating the likelihood of local, regional or global wars is hard. Given human history and current behavior of governments around the world, the odds, unfortunately, are increasing. As noted by BJ Campbell since 1453 we have seen 465 sovereign nations disappear. That means there is an annual 82% chance annually that a country will cease to exist. Now that is less likely in the larger countries? No.
The odds are bad. From his article “France had a 30-year war, a seven-year war, a particularly nasty revolution, a counter-revolution, that Napoleon thing, and a couple of world wars tacked on the end”. The US has had two major events since its founding in 1678. Again from BJ Campbell, that is roughly two major civil wars in 340 years so 0.5882% per year risk. That means in your lifetime there is a 37% of another major internal US war.
If you add in WWI, WWII, Korea and Vietnam means the risk jumps from .588% to 1.765% and over 78.7 years (average lifespan) the odds of war impacting us jumps from 37% to 75%. Unfortunately the odds and not in our favor. The higher number is albeit a smaller impact.
What are the Odds of Terrorism?
Add in terrorism and local idiots with a gun and the odds of a small impact to your life jump to uncomfortable levels. We also have variable risks from widespread man-made disasters impacting fuel prices, food supply, power grid, and of course pandemics.
The good news is it seems smaller conflicts around the globe have been letting off steam for the possible larger wars since WWII. Over the past decade antagonism has been building up between many groups around the world. A big example is radical Islam and anyone who opposes it. Increasing demand of growing populations for land and resources will also raise tensions. From 355ad to 1291ad there were 309 muslim wars, invasions or major attacks. That is a 33% per year chance for an attack.
From 1970 to 2019 there were 282 muslim terrorist attacks as reported by WIKIPEDIA, which in my opinion is a low estimate. But using that estimate that means there are 5.75 attacks EVERY YEAR worldwide. In the US alone it is 10 in that period so that is a 20% chance annually – and given under reporting it is closer to 30%. If you only take big ones there are a couple that killed over 100 so using the math, the odds are again in the 30% to 70% range in our lifetime, depending on how big the event is you are planning on.
But even with that high number it only measures the likelihood of the EVENT not of you being killed in the event. To calculate that we need to add in population – which dramatically lowers your odds.
What are the Odds of Financial Collapse?
Financial collapse has happened many times before, with smaller short term recessions and full blown depressions. We are seeing major financial problems periodically throughout the world. Combine financial instability with increased instability in the middle east and you increase the odds of at least a global recession if not a full global financial failure. Add a full war into the mix and the odds go way up. Many people believe it is almost inevitable that we will see massive inflation based on government spending and monetary policy from 2005 through 2017.
Even if its not the end of the world, we can expect some serious financial events because of government deficit spending, the same thing that would happen if we spent more than we had individually (just multiply it by billions of dollars).
What are the Odds that We Will Run Out of Natural Resources?
There are groups of people who believe we will run out of natural resources (iron, wood, water…) fill in your favorite item. This might even apply to food which is more logical as food production varies with weather which is quite hard to predict, much less control.
Improvements in reducing waste should be made, as well as developing new, lower impact technologies to use resources more wisely, and to recycle existing waste.
The odds are you will get older; so building your home or modifying your home to better fit you as you age is a good investment. Think “Cradle to Cradle” design. For more information see our article: Aging in Place – Making Your Home Livable for a Lifetime
Food Supply Interruption
Two years of even minor interruptions in food production would impact global food prices. Make the interruptions medium or large and it would be equal to or worse than a global economic collapse. This is a serious area of concern.
What are the Odds of a Major Power Outage Taking Out a Large Section of the Electrical Grid?
In a nutshell unless something changes, brownouts and power outages will spread throughout the US. Regardless of the big events, small interruptions in service are likely and actually likely to get worse given an aging power system. Worse yet power plants being retired far faster than we build new ones.
Think of it this way, if the electricity isn’t working in your house and you don’t have light, water or heat, it really doesn’t matter why.
What are the odds in the real world?
When you pile all the possible bad things together the odds keep getting higher and higher that “something” will happen in a 10 year period. A civil/national war has a 37% chance in 10 years. A hurricane is 92% chance in 10 years. A solar flare is a 6% chance in 10 years. All these increase the likelihood of something bad happening. This is why there are “force majeure clauses” in every insurance agreement and important agreement. Shit happens and it is well known but not often discussed.
With all this doom and gloom we should all be dead or know someone who was killed in some awful way. The odds of an event are the NOT the same as the odds of the event impacting you. The odds for a lot of these events are CUT by population and location. Most terrorist events have a local impact only. Hurricanes only hit specific areas. But that is no consolation for those people caught in the events. Plan to be caught in the event, but God willing none of us will be involved. But God gave us a brain, hands and we resources so we need to prepare.
What are MY odds?
Look at your family history. How many times have you or your parents lost a job. What are the economic conditions where you live? How many times have you lived through a minor or major disaster? Use the math and you can estimate how much money, time and resources on preparing. This will give you a realistic estimate of your personal, family and/or community risks.
Predict what is likely. Plan on what to do. And it will Prepare you for those and other events you might not predict.
Personal example: My wife and I had been planning on saving money to buy a new 4wd vehicle and add an outbuilding. I had been gainfully employed sometimes with multiple jobs at once for 20+ years. Then I was laid off unexpectedly during a merger.
Our prediction was to buy a new van and build and outbuilding. We also predicted likely power interruptions, and some minor food supply interruptions.
Our plan was saving money and stocking on up beef (frozen in a chest freezer). Long term our plan was to be more self sufficient, and have enough to survive likely problems and likely natural disasters.
We were prepared for success and some likely events. Then I was laid off. We didn’t plan on that, but the cash and meat in the freezer held us through until I found another job.
No man is worth his salt who is not ready at all times to risk his well-being, to risk his body, to risk his life, in a great cause.
– Theodore Roosevelt
This information may seem overwhelming. Just focus on preparing the basics. We can’t spend ALL our resources on That will put you ahead of most people. Stockpile food and water, and have extra fuel. Balance all the crazy input with what you know to be reasonable, trust your gut and have a plan.
Updated 3/30/2020: This article covers the basics of Coronavirus Pandemic aka Covid19 aka SARS-CoV-2. We review its symptoms, how dangerous it is, what it will do to the economy, how to avoid it and myths about it.
World wide there are 766,336 cases resulting in 36,873 deaths. USA has 153,246 cases with 2467 deaths. New cases will continue to increase rapidly as more test kits become available.
When this is all said and done I estimate that death rates will be roughly 3x to 5x influenza, not 10x or more as the media has been reporting (that means .3% to as high as .8% not 10%). I base this on sampling data, and it is also supported by the cruise ship data.